ERN CEIS: Centre for Economic & International Studies Working Paper Series, Vol. 23 No. 1, 02/27/2025


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  • Subject: ERN CEIS: Centre for Economic & International Studies Working Paper Series, Vol. 23 No. 1, 02/27/2025
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Title: CEIS: Centre for Economic & International Studies Working Paper Series :: SSRN

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Table of Contents

Marco Carli, University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance, Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Ragioneria Generale dello Stato (RGS)

Elisabetta Iossa, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
Chiara Latour, Stockholm University

Luca Delle Foglie, University of Tor Vergata
Stefano Papa, Sapienza University of Rome
Giancarlo Spagnolo, University of Rome Tor Vergata, EIEF, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), Stockholm School of Economics (SITE)


CEIS: CENTRE FOR ECONOMIC & INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
Furio Camillo Rosati - Director

"Green Ambiguity" Free Download
CEIS Research paper No 591, Vol.23, Issue 1

MARCO CARLI, University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance, Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Ragioneria Generale dello Stato (RGS)
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Agents may be unsure about the productive potential of green technology and of the non-polluting sector due to imprecise information or misguiding news. I study the impact of this deep uncertainty in the context of the transition to a low-carbon economy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with polluting and green sectors and agents who, due to their ambiguity aversion, take decisions under pessimistic expectations about the future productivity of the latter sector. In the short term, losses of confidence can shift the balance of the economy in favor of investment in the polluting sector and lead to an increase in emissions. Coupling environmental tax and green subsidy can partially counteract this imbalance when the long-run forecast of agents ends up realizing, while also avoiding delays in the green transition. A dynamic version of the policy mix is also able to mitigate the short-term effects of drops in confidence.

"Firms' Legality and Efficiency: Evidence from Public Procurement " Free Download
CEIS Working Paper No 592, Vol.23, Issue 1

ELISABETTA IOSSA, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
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CHIARA LATOUR,
Stockholm University
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Do firms with higher legality standards contribute to better procurement outcomes? We address this question in the context of Italian public works procurement, by combining contract-level data on procurement and firm-level data on legality scores, using the Legality Rating System managed by the Italian Antitrust Authority. We find that higher legality scores are positively associated with a significant and economically important improvement in procurement efficiency, measured by shorter time delays and lower extra costs.

"Rage Against the Machine or Humans? " Free Download
CEIS Working Paper No 593, Vol.23, Issue 1

LUCA DELLE FOGLIE, University of Tor Vergata
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STEFANO PAPA,
Sapienza University of Rome
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GIANCARLO SPAGNOLO,
University of Rome Tor Vergata, EIEF, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), Stockholm School of Economics (SITE)
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We examine how betrayal aversion and ambiguity attitudes influence trust. To disentangle these effects, we use a Trust game and manipulate trustors' perception of being the intentional recipients of trustees' betrayal by varying the nature of the latter: a human or a machine that replicates human choices in probability. After confirming that this manipulation does not affect ambiguity attitudes or beliefs about others' behavior, we find that both factors significantly influence trust. Nonetheless, even when controlling for these attitudes and beliefs, participants exhibit lower trust in humans than in machine. Furthermore, using Noldus' FaceReader technology to measure emotions during trustors' decision-making process, we find that participants express greater anger toward human trustees. Our results indicate that both betrayal aversion and ambiguity attitudes play important roles in shaping trust decisions.

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  • ERN CEIS: Centre for Economic & International Studies Working Paper Series, Vol. 23 No. 1, 02/27/2025, Barbara Piazzi

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